There’s an interesting AFP article on the city of Johannesburg’s 1 billion Rand (~105 million USD) contract with Ericsson to deliver municipal broadband infrastructure. In it they quote an anonymous “telecoms expert” who says:
…that municipalities were already stretched to provide basic utility services, and that the provisioning of telecoms services would simply put additional strain on already ineffective organisations.
He further argued that government’s involvement in telecoms in the past, typically through Telkom and Sentech, had hurt the industry and kept South Africa back, and that there was no reason to believe that things would be different this time. He suggested infrastructure investment incentives such as tax breaks to operators rather than direct government involvement in such networks.”
Given that the city of Johannesburg is giving a billion Rand to Ericsson, I don’t think the straining already ineffective organisations argument is really what’s at issue. I suspect straining already over-stretched municipal budgets is probably more to the point. However, even that is secondary to the two most important weaknesses in Johannesburg’s approach:
1) Johannesburg now has its hand in the cash register
By betting all or nothing on Ericsson, the city has aligned its broadband fate with Ericsson. The city obviously wants to see Ericsson succeed, which is all well and good. However, the dark and ugly flip side of this is that the city will not want competition in the municipal broadband market to flourish as it might hamper the success of their investment with Ericsson. Sound familiar? ::cough:: Telkom, 1990s, hello?
2) Monolithic tenders are often ridiculously inefficient
Around the world we have seen the failure of municipal wireless networks in the last few years. The nature of these failures is a matter of wide speculation but I would argue that a major cause is large cities betting their budgets on a single provider that promises the world. Earthlink’s failure in the United States is a prime example of this. One cannot help but wonder how much of that 1 billion Rand is going to be eaten up by endless consultant fees, meetings, overheads, etc. How much will actually go to deploying infrastructure? If Ericsson is going to deliver affordable cost-effective broadband for the city of Johannesburg, they are going to need to be as lean as the leanest Seacom-connected ISP start-up. This strikes me as unlikely. Equally, broadband is a very fast moving technological field. What happens when all of Ericsson’s equipment is outmoded by leaner, smaller competitors? Will they come back to the city with their corporate hands outstretched for another billion Rand to upgrade?
Having said that the hearts of municipal officials are clearly in the right place. Johannesburg councillor Parks Tau says, “We regard access to broadband as a key driver of economic growth and wealth generation.” Jacquie Subban, head of strategy for the eThekwini Municipality, argues the importance of broadband access in terms of economic growth and social development and says that broadband infrastructure should be made available cheaply. They are SO right. Well and affordably connected cities can be significant drivers of social and economic growth. The key issue is where does this correct and well-intentioned thinking ultimately lead municipal governments. Failing to learn the lessons on offer from the likes of Sentech, Telkom, Infraco, is frankly hard to excuse.
I believe that the successful model for pervasive, low-cost municipal broadband involves a mix of large infrastructure providers and entrepreneurial smaller ones to keep them on their toes. The above list is just a start.
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